The Five Stages of Collapse

I've followed John Robb's work for the past year and find his perspective on the impact of a networked and decentralized world interesting.   He recently posted a summary of Dimitry Orlov's "Five Stages of Collapse".

"Dimitry Orlov (author of the excellent book, Reinventing Collapse) has an excellent presentation he calls the Five Stages of Collapse — a pattern of collapse seen in Russia and Eastern Europe during the 90's (on Google Docs, click to view in new window). These stages are:

    • Financial Collapse. Already in motion.
    • Commercial Collapse. Just started.
    • Political Collapse (a loss of faith in ideology). First part is over (the recent election in the US). Second part is going to be nasty.
    • Social Collapse. Potentially the end state or stable equilibrium point for most of the world. Everyone against everyone with points awarded by the global marketplace.
    • Cultural Collapse. Full meltdown. Global market breaks. 

The collapse in the USSR/Eastern Europe ended due to connectivity to a large external environment, collectively the West, which provided stability and a route back from chaos. We don't have an external environment to gain support from with our collapse. It's global."


  1. Can anyone e-mail me a link to articles on this subject by Dimitry Orlov IN RUSSIAN? I particularly am interested in his excellent slide presentation on the subject. This too, is in English. ( )

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